Sport Picks
Telford vs Oxford City
England
National League North New Bucks Head, Telford 
Match Events
49'
49'
Walker R.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Telford and Oxford City finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Telford.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oxford City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Oxford City come out ahead of Telford on wins alone.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Telford Clean Sheet 16%
Oxford City Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Telford | Oxford City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 National League North
Telford vs Oxford City
1:0
Feb 24, 2026 National League North
Oxford City vs Telford
0:0
Nov 25, 2025 National League North
Telford vs Oxford City
4:0
Apr 8, 2014 National League North
Oxford City vs Telford
2:0
Mar 22, 2014 National League North
Telford vs Oxford City
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Telford Compare
Top Goalscorer Walker R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Oxford City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Telford 36 / 100
Oxford City 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Telford Oxford City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oxford City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Telford scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Oxford City has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Telford went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Telford VS Oxford City
1 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Telford
(Home) 26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5 King’s Lynn
22 Sept
Worksop
5 : 2 Telford
19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2 Worksop
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0 Telford
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0 Oxford City
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5 King’s Lynn
19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2 Worksop
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0 Oxford City
31 Aug
Telford
0 : 1 Bedford
22 Aug
Telford
1 : 1 Hednesford
Page 1 of 4
Oxford City
(Away) 26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1 Morecambe
19 Sept
Dorchester
0 : 2 Oxford City
12 Sept
Radcliffe
0 : 3 Oxford City
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0 Oxford City
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0 Chorley
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Dorchester
0 : 2 Oxford City
12 Sept
Radcliffe
0 : 3 Oxford City
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0 Oxford City
31 Aug
Worksop
0 : 1 Oxford City
22 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 4 Oxford City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:10 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 21 | Brackley | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
