Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Telstar vs Cambuur

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Thorisson N.
28'
Baouf I.
28'
Mendes R.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie game between Telstar and Cambuur finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Telstar
30%
Draws
47%
Cambuur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cambuur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cambuur come out ahead of Telstar on wins alone.
  • Telstar are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Telstar Clean Sheet 18%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telstar Cambuur
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.54 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Eredivisie
Telstar vs Cambuur
2:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Cambuur vs Telstar
0:2
Jan 31, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Telstar
2:1
Nov 29, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Telstar vs Cambuur
2:2
Mar 23, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Telstar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Telstar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Cambuur Compare

Top Goalscorer El Arguioui R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Binder N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telstar 76 / 100
Cambuur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telstar Cambuur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Telstar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 9:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambuur has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Telstar scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Cambuur's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Telstar VS Cambuur
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Telstar

(Home)
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0
Telstar
09 Sept
Twente
1 : 0
Telstar
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2
Cambuur
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4
Ajax
14 Aug
Telstar
1 : 3
Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 6

Cambuur

(Away)
12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0
Nijmegen
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2
Cambuur
30 Aug
Cambuur
1 : 4
Twente
23 Aug
Cambuur
2 : 5
Feyenoord
15 Aug
Sittard
3 : 1
Cambuur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV 6 5 1 0 22:7 16
2 AZ Alkmaar 6 5 1 0 17:6 16
3 Feyenoord 6 4 2 0 20:7 14
4 Ajax 6 4 1 1 19:7 13
5 Twente 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
6 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
7 Excelsior 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
8 Sittard 6 3 1 2 12:14 10
9 G.A. Eagles 6 2 3 1 15:13 9
10 Nijmegen 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
11 Heerenveen 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 2 3 10:13 5
13 Telstar 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
14 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 11:19 5
15 Cambuur 6 1 1 4 9:18 4
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Willem II 6 0 2 4 6:19 2
18 Den Haag 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)