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Telstar vs Den Haag

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Telstar host Den Haag in the Eredivisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Telstar have averaged 1.54 scored and 1.71 conceded recently, against Den Haag's 2 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Telstar slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.88) back Den Haag to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Telstar
30%
Draws
23%
Den Haag
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Telstar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Den Haag come out ahead of Telstar on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Telstar Clean Sheet 10%
Den Haag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telstar Den Haag
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.54 2
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs Telstar
0:1
May 13, 2025 Eredivisie
Telstar vs Den Haag
2:0
Apr 11, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Telstar vs Den Haag
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Den Haag vs Telstar
1:1
Mar 15, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Telstar vs Den Haag
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telstar 29 / 100
Den Haag 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telstar Den Haag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Telstar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telstar found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Den Haag has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Den Haag lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Telstar VS Den Haag
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Telstar

(Home)
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0
Telstar
09 Sept
Twente
1 : 0
Telstar
06 Sept
Telstar
2 : 2
Cambuur
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4
Ajax
14 Aug
Telstar
1 : 3
Sparta Rotterdam
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Den Haag

(Away)
12 Sept
Twente
2 : 0
Den Haag
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3
Sittard
30 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 2
Den Haag
23 Aug
G.A. Eagles
3 : 1
Den Haag
16 Aug
Den Haag
1 : 4
Groningen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV 6 5 1 0 22:7 16
2 AZ Alkmaar 6 5 1 0 17:6 16
3 Feyenoord 6 4 2 0 20:7 14
4 Ajax 6 4 1 1 19:7 13
5 Twente 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
6 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
7 Excelsior 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
8 Sittard 6 3 1 2 12:14 10
9 G.A. Eagles 6 2 3 1 15:13 9
10 Nijmegen 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
11 Heerenveen 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 2 3 10:13 5
13 Telstar 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
14 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 11:19 5
15 Cambuur 6 1 1 4 9:18 4
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Willem II 6 0 2 4 6:19 2
18 Den Haag 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)