Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Telstar vs Groningen

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Vaessen E.
28'
Sub
Thorisson N. In: Hetli S.
Out: Thorisson N.
32' Event
Janse D.
Assist: Land T.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie 2025/2026 game between Telstar and Groningen finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Groningen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Telstar
15%
Draws
34%
Groningen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Telstar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Telstar's 1.76 goals per match outpaces what Groningen have produced (1.25).
  • Win probability leans Telstar's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Groningen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Telstar Clean Sheet 20%
Groningen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telstar Groningen
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.76 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Eredivisie
Telstar vs Groningen
0:2
Sep 20, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Telstar
2:0
May 3, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Telstar vs Groningen
1:1
Dec 8, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Groningen vs Telstar
2:0
Nov 12, 2008 KNVB Beker
Telstar vs Groningen
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Telstar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Groningen Compare

Top Goalscorer Janse D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schreuders J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telstar 76 / 100
Groningen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telstar Groningen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telstar found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (25 games).

Groningen has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Away concern: Groningen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Telstar VS Groningen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Telstar

(Home)
31 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 1
Telstar
17 Jul
De Graafschap
3 : 6
Telstar
11 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 0
Telstar
04 Jul
Almere City
2 : 1
Telstar
17 May
FC Volendam
1 : 2
Telstar
Page 1 of 5

Groningen

(Away)
01 Aug
Groningen
1 : 0
Valladolid
31 Jul
Groningen
1 : 3
Almere City
25 Jul
Groningen
0 : 0
Volos
24 Jul
Groningen
0 : 4
FC Volendam
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2
AEK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV 34 27 3 4 101:45 84
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 70:44 65
3 Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 77:53 59
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 59:40 58
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 62:41 56
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 55:42 53
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 58:51 52
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 57:53 51
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 49:45 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 40:62 43
11 Sittard 34 11 6 17 49:63 39
12 G.A. Eagles 34 8 14 12 54:53 38
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 43:56 38
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 49:55 37
15 Zwolle 34 9 10 15 44:71 37
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 35:55 32
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 35:58 29
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 35:85 19
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)