Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Temperley vs Atl. Rafaela

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Alfredo Beranger, Turdera
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Hauche G.
Assist: Diaz F.
58'
Moreno M.
60'
Sub
Quiroga M. In: Fernandez M.
Out: Quiroga M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Temperley and Atl. Rafaela finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Temperley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Temperley
20%
Draws
28%
Atl. Rafaela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Temperley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Temperley come out ahead of Atl. Rafaela on wins alone.
  • Model gives Temperley a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Temperley Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Temperley Atl. Rafaela
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.24 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Temperley vs Atl. Rafaela
2:0
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Temperley
1:0
Aug 6, 2024 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Temperley
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Primera Nacional
Temperley vs Atl. Rafaela
1:1
Mar 18, 2022 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Temperley
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Temperley Compare

Top Goalscorer Hauche G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brandan F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atl. Rafaela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Temperley 86 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Temperley Atl. Rafaela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Temperley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Temperley has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Temperley scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Atl. Rafaela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Temperley VS Atl. Rafaela
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Temperley

(Home)
19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Almagro
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0
Temperley
06 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Colegiales
30 Aug
Quilmes
0 : 1
Temperley
23 Aug
Temperley
2 : 1
Midland
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Atl. Rafaela

(Away)
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1
Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
29 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 1
Tristan Suarez
24 Aug
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 30 17 7 6 35:25 58
2 Deportivo Moron 30 16 7 7 48:29 55
3 Godoy Cruz 30 15 7 8 38:26 52
4 Deportivo Madryn 30 13 10 7 44:28 49
5 Colon Santa Fe 30 13 9 8 38:25 48
6 Almirante Brown 30 12 10 8 23:17 46
7 CA Estudiantes 30 11 9 10 27:25 42
8 Ciudad Bolivar 30 9 12 9 24:27 39
9 Los Andes 30 8 13 9 22:20 37
10 Chaco For Ever 30 9 9 12 27:29 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 30 8 12 10 23:26 36
12 Racing Cordoba 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
13 All Boys 30 6 14 10 17:26 32
14 CA Mitre 30 6 14 10 27:37 32
15 Central Norte 30 6 13 11 19:28 31
16 San Miguel 30 6 13 11 24:34 31
17 San Telmo 30 7 10 13 23:34 31
18 Acassuso 30 6 8 16 21:34 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 30 14 12 4 31:15 54
2 Temperley 30 14 11 5 36:24 53
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 30 15 8 7 45:36 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 30 15 4 11 34:28 49
5 Midland 30 13 8 9 34:25 47
6 San Martin S.J. 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
7 Gimnasia y Tiro 30 12 9 9 31:27 45
8 Atl. Rafaela 30 11 9 10 25:26 42
9 Deportivo Maipu 30 11 8 11 37:31 41
10 Colegiales 30 11 7 12 29:30 40
11 San Martin T. 30 9 12 9 32:30 39
12 Agropecuario 30 9 9 12 26:34 36
13 Quilmes 30 9 8 13 28:27 35
14 Almagro 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
15 Nueva Chicago 30 8 9 13 22:29 33
16 Patronato 30 5 16 9 24:31 31
17 Chacarita Juniors 30 8 6 16 22:31 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 30 5 8 17 23:51 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)