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Temperley vs Nueva Chicago - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Alfredo Beranger, Turdera
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Temperley host Nueva Chicago in the Primera Nacional. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Temperley at 1.28 goals for, 0.86 against; Nueva Chicago at 0.69 for, 1.03 against. Past meetings favor Temperley slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.31 - 0.44) back Temperley to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Under 2.5, BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Temperley
20%
Draws
33%
Nueva Chicago
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Temperley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Temperley carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Temperley taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Temperley Clean Sheet 68%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Temperley Nueva Chicago
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.28 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Temperley
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Primera Nacional
Temperley vs Nueva Chicago
3:0
Jun 2, 2025 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Temperley
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Primera Nacional
Temperley vs Nueva Chicago
0:0
Jun 1, 2024 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Temperley
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Temperley 68 / 100
Nueva Chicago 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Temperley Nueva Chicago

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Temperley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Temperley found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Nueva Chicago has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Temperley went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Temperley VS Nueva Chicago
1.5 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Temperley

(Home)
03 Oct
Temperley
2 : 1
Gimnasia Jujuy
27 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 0
Temperley
19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Almagro
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0
Temperley
06 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Colegiales
Page 1 of 6

Nueva Chicago

(Away)
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1
Nueva Chicago
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)