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Tenerife C vs Arucas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
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Match Events

27' Event
Charrik A.
56' Event
Ibrahin P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tenerife C
30%
Draws
39%
Arucas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Tenerife C have won more games recently than Arucas.
  • Tenerife C are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Tenerife C Clean Sheet 68%
Arucas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tenerife C Arucas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife C vs Arucas
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Tenerife C
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tenerife C Compare

Top Goalscorer Charrik A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Arucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibrahin P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tenerife C 50 / 100
Arucas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tenerife C Arucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tenerife C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arucas let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Tenerife C scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tenerife C remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tenerife C VS Arucas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tenerife C

(Home)
25 Sept
Tenerife C
3 : 2
Anaza
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
03 May
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
Tenerife C
Page 1 of 6

Arucas

(Away)
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1
Mensajero
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Arucas
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0
Arucas
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0
San Bartolome
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)