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Tenerife C vs Lanzarote Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
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Match Events

54' Event
Fonseca J.
62' Event
Velazquez E.

AI Match Summary

Tenerife C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tenerife C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tenerife C
35%
Draws
39%
Lanzarote
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lanzarote

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Tenerife C have won more games recently than Lanzarote.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tenerife C Clean Sheet 17%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tenerife C Lanzarote
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife C vs Lanzarote
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Tenerife C
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tenerife C Compare

Top Goalscorer Fonseca J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Velazquez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Lanzarote Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tenerife C 36 / 100
Lanzarote 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tenerife C Lanzarote

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanzarote Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tenerife C scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Lanzarote has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Tenerife C went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tenerife C VS Lanzarote
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tenerife C

(Home)
03 Oct
San Miguel
2 : 0
Tenerife C
25 Sept
Tenerife C
3 : 2
Anaza
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
Page 1 of 6

Lanzarote

(Away)
03 Oct
Las Palmas C
1 : 2
Lanzarote
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Bartolome
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1
Lanzarote
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2
Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)