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Tenerife C vs UD San Fernando

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Noda A.

AI Match Summary

Tenerife C host UD San Fernando in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tenerife C have averaged 0.63 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against UD San Fernando's 1.88 scored and 0.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Tenerife C slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 0.56 vs 1.88, favoring UD San Fernando. UD San Fernando in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Tenerife C
11%
Draws
80%
UD San Fernando
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: UD San Fernando

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • UD San Fernando has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tenerife C.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for UD San Fernando.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 12 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Tenerife C Clean Sheet 10%
UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tenerife C UD San Fernando
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Tenerife C
5:0
Jan 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife C vs UD San Fernando
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tenerife C Compare

Top Goalscorer Noda A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

UD San Fernando Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tenerife C 10 / 100
UD San Fernando 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tenerife C UD San Fernando

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SFE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tenerife C scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

UD San Fernando let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tenerife C went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

UD San Fernando lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tenerife C VS UD San Fernando
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125