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Tenerife vs Barakaldo

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López, Santa Cruz de Tenerife
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Landazuri A.
23'
Dufur U.
46'
Sub
Martin D. In: Lozano de Vuyst G.
Out: Martin D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Tenerife and Barakaldo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tenerife.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tenerife
28%
Draws
22%
Barakaldo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tenerife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tenerife carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tenerife are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Tenerife Clean Sheet 68%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tenerife Barakaldo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Tenerife vs Barakaldo
2:0
Oct 24, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Tenerife
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tenerife Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallego E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mesa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Barakaldo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tenerife 59 / 100
Barakaldo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tenerife Barakaldo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tenerife found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Barakaldo let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Tenerife remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tenerife VS Barakaldo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.86
100% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Tenerife

(Home)
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6
Tenerife
22 Jul
Tenerife
1 : 2
Getafe
18 Jul
Tenerife
3 : 0
Tenerife B
23 May
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Tenerife
17 May
Tenerife
3 : 0
Pontevedra
Page 1 of 6

Barakaldo

(Away)
23 May
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Celta Vigo B
17 May
Real Aviles
1 : 4
Barakaldo
09 May
Barakaldo
2 : 0
AD Merida
01 May
Tenerife
2 : 0
Barakaldo
25 Apr
Barakaldo
3 : 0
Lugo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tenerife382210662:2476
2Celta Vigo B381811961:4865
3Zamora3817101153:4261
4Ponferradina381791243:3360
5Real Madrid B3816101261:5258
6Pontevedra381416849:3158
7Barakaldo3815131051:3858
8Unionistas de Salamanca3815111253:4956
9Lugo3813141136:4053
10AD Merida3814101447:5352
11Arenas Getxo381571646:5552
12Racing Club Ferrol3813101541:4749
13Ath Bilbao B3813101538:4649
14Real Aviles3811111655:6744
15Cacereno3810141442:4944
16CF Talavera3811101738:4743
17Ourense CF3810131544:4743
18Guadalajara3810111744:5841
19Osasuna B3810101828:4240
20Arenteiro386102229:5328
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)