Sport Picks
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Jaiba Brava
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Gregorio "Tepa" Gómez 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Tepatitlan de Morelos in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tepatitlan de Morelos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tepatitlan de Morelos haven't matched Jaiba Brava's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Tepatitlan de Morelos's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tepatitlan de Morelos | Jaiba Brava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tepatitlan de Morelos Compare
Jaiba Brava Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tepatitlan de Morelos found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Jaiba Brava conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Tepatitlan de Morelos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.