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Tepecik vs Tokatspor Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Şahin A.
Own Goal
66' Event
Yukseker A.
77' Event
Bugdayci O.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 2020/2021 game between Tepecik and Tokatspor finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tepecik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tepecik
15%
Draws
0%
Tokatspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tepecik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tokatspor have managed 0.7 goals a game lately — Tepecik are scoring more at 0.94.
  • Tepecik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tepecik here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tepecik Clean Sheet 18%
Tokatspor Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tepecik Tokatspor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.94 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2021 3. Lig Group 2
Tepecik vs Tokatspor
4:1
Dec 10, 2020 3. Lig Group 2
Tokatspor vs Tepecik
1:3
Apr 17, 2016 2. Lig Red Group
Tepecik vs Tokatspor
1:0
Dec 6, 2015 2. Lig Red Group
Tokatspor vs Tepecik
4:1
Feb 26, 2012 2. Lig White Group
Tokatspor vs Tepecik
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tepecik Compare

Top Goalscorer Bugdayci O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hanoglu O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Tokatspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yukseker A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tepecik 85 / 100
Tokatspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tepecik Tokatspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tepecik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tokatspor let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Tokatspor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Tepecik found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Tepecik VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tepecik

(Home)
26 Apr
K. Istklalspor
2 : 0
Tepecik
20 Apr
Tepecik
0 : 1
Agri 1970
13 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 2
Tepecik
06 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 1
Tepecik
02 Apr
Mardin 1969
5 : 1
Tepecik
Page 1 of 7

Tokatspor

(Away)
01 May
Kahta
4 : 0
Tokatspor
25 Apr
Tokatspor
1 : 5
Ceyhanspor
21 Apr
Fethiyespor
2 : 0
Tokatspor
14 Apr
Tokatspor
0 : 2
Yomraspor
08 Apr
Tepecik
4 : 1
Tokatspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nazillispor 32 19 6 7 63:29 63
2 Kutahyaspor 32 18 8 6 61:35 62
3 Fethiyespor 32 17 7 8 59:29 58
4 Yomraspor 32 13 11 8 42:33 50
5 Iskenderunspor 32 15 5 12 38:41 50
6 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 32 12 13 7 41:36 49
7 Mardin 1969 32 12 12 8 39:33 48
8 Tepecik 32 11 11 10 48:37 44
9 Darica Genclerbirligi 32 10 13 9 29:27 43
10 Agri 1970 32 11 9 12 29:39 42
11 Ceyhanspor 32 11 8 13 48:69 41
12 Kahta 32 8 14 10 40:36 38
13 Karaman FK 32 8 13 11 40:39 37
14 Cengelkoy SK 32 8 10 14 35:44 34
15 Tekirdagspor 32 6 12 14 41:54 30
16 Tokatspor 32 6 7 19 22:65 25
17 Yozgatspor 32 4 7 21 28:57 19
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)