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Teplice vs Dresden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Federle M.
55'
Marecek D.
51'
Rapp N.

AI Match Summary

Teplice in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Teplice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Teplice
20%
Draws
11%
Dresden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Teplice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Teplice lately — more wins on the board than Dresden.
  • Teplice are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Teplice Clean Sheet 11%
Dresden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teplice Dresden
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.93 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Teplice vs Dresden
2:0
Mar 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Teplice
3:2
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Teplice
1:0
Jan 24, 2015 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Teplice
3:1
Aug 14, 2012 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Teplice
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teplice Compare

Top Goalscorer Federle M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harustak J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Dresden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teplice 83 / 100
Dresden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teplice Dresden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teplice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teplice found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Dresden conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Teplice went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Teplice VS Dresden
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Teplice

(Home)
02 Oct
Teplice
2 : 0
Dresden
20 Sept
Hradec Kralove
0 : 2
Teplice
16 Sept
Taborsko
0 : 5
Teplice
13 Sept
Teplice
0 : 2
Slavia Prague
06 Sept
Zlin
1 : 3
Teplice
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Dresden

(Away)
10 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 1
Dresden
02 Oct
Teplice
2 : 0
Dresden
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2
Dresden
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Bochum
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