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Teplice vs Dukla Prague

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga 2025/2026 AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Trmal M.
25'
Gilbert D.
32'
Svanda J.

AI Match Summary

Teplice in this Chance Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Teplice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Teplice
30%
Draws
26%
Dukla Prague
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Teplice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Very High Confidence
  • Dukla Prague haven't matched Teplice's recent run of results.
  • Teplice are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Chance Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Teplice Clean Sheet 68%
Dukla Prague Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teplice Dukla Prague
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Chance Liga
Teplice vs Dukla Prague
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Chance Liga
Teplice vs Dukla Prague
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Chance Liga
Dukla Prague vs Teplice
1:3
Apr 27, 2025 Chance Liga
Teplice vs Dukla Prague
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 Chance Liga
Dukla Prague vs Teplice
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teplice Compare

Top Goalscorer Fortelny J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hopi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Dukla Prague Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teplice 95 / 100
Dukla Prague 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teplice Dukla Prague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dukla Prague conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Teplice has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Teplice's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Teplice VS Dukla Prague
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Teplice

(Home)
01 Aug
Liberec
0 : 1
Teplice
25 Jul
Teplice
3 : 1
Bohemians 1905
18 Jul
Ruzomberok
0 : 3
Teplice
13 Jul
Wacker Innsbruck
0 : 3
Teplice
08 Jul
Teplice
3 : 0
Taborsko
Page 1 of 6

Dukla Prague

(Away)
31 Jul
Taborsko
2 : 2
Dukla Prague
24 Jul
Dukla Prague
2 : 0
FK Ceska Lipa
17 Jul
Usti nad Labem
2 : 2
Dukla Prague
11 Jul
Dukla Prague
4 : 2
Sparta Prague B
04 Jul
Liberec
2 : 2
Dukla Prague
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
11 Teplice 35 10 12 13 40:42 42
12 Zlin 35 11 8 16 43:56 41
13 Mlada Boleslav 35 9 13 13 49:57 40
14 Slovacko 35 7 9 19 30:51 30
15 Ostrava 35 7 8 20 32:49 29
16 Dukla Prague 35 5 11 19 23:51 26
Relegation - Chance Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - ChNL (Main)