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Teplice vs Jablonec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Okeke N.
59'
Sub
Cermak M. In: Marecek D.
Out: Cermak M.
59'
Sub
Hopi I. In: Auta J.
Out: Hopi I.

AI Match Summary

The Chance Liga game between Teplice and Jablonec finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teplice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Teplice
35%
Draws
32%
Jablonec
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Teplice carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Teplice taking it.
  • Regular Chance Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jablonec have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Teplice Clean Sheet 68%
Jablonec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teplice Jablonec
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Chance Liga
Teplice vs Jablonec
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Teplice
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Chance Liga
Teplice vs Jablonec
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Chance Liga
Teplice vs Jablonec
0:1
Nov 2, 2024 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Teplice
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teplice Compare

Top Goalscorer Auta J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radosta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Jablonec Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teplice 68 / 100
Jablonec 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teplice Jablonec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teplice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teplice's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Teplice remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Jablonec conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Teplice VS Jablonec
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Teplice

(Home)
31 Oct
Slovacko
1 : 3
Teplice
27 Oct
Liberec
1 : 0
Teplice
24 Oct
Teplice
0 : 0
Artis Brno
17 Oct
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 0
Teplice
11 Oct
Teplice
1 : 1
Sigma Olomouc
Page 1 of 6

Jablonec

(Away)
05 Nov
Riga FC
1 : 1
Jablonec
31 Oct
Jablonec
0 : 5
Slavia Prague
25 Oct
Hradec Kralove
1 : 2
Jablonec
22 Oct
Jablonec
0 : 0
Brighton
18 Oct
Jablonec
2 : 3
Plzen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 13 9 4 0 32:7 31
2 Mlada Boleslav 13 7 3 3 22:15 24
3 Sigma Olomouc 13 7 3 3 22:15 24
4 Sparta Prague 13 7 2 4 25:13 23
5 Liberec 12 7 2 3 15:8 23
6 Teplice 13 6 3 4 21:18 21
7 Bohemians 1905 13 5 5 3 15:14 20
8 Jablonec 13 6 2 5 16:18 20
9 Brno 13 6 2 5 16:19 20
10 Plzen 13 5 4 4 28:21 19
11 Hradec Kralove 13 4 3 6 12:18 15
12 FK Pardubice 13 4 2 7 15:19 14
13 Ostrava 12 3 2 7 7:22 11
14 Artis Brno 13 2 4 7 14:24 10
15 Slovacko 13 1 4 8 12:26 7
16 Zlin 13 0 3 10 11:26 3
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)