Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Teplice vs Jablonec

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Okeke N.
59'
Sub
Cermak M. In: Marecek D.
Out: Cermak M.
59'
Sub
Hopi I. In: Auta J.
Out: Hopi I.

AI Match Summary

The Chance Liga game between Teplice and Jablonec finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teplice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Teplice
15%
Draws
26%
Jablonec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Teplice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Jablonec carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Teplice taking it.
  • Regular Chance Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jablonec have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Teplice Clean Sheet 16%
Jablonec Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teplice Jablonec
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Chance Liga
Teplice vs Jablonec
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Teplice
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Chance Liga
Teplice vs Jablonec
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Chance Liga
Teplice vs Jablonec
0:1
Nov 2, 2024 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Teplice
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teplice Compare

Top Goalscorer Auta J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radosta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Jablonec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teplice 36 / 100
Jablonec 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teplice Jablonec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teplice's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Jablonec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Teplice remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Teplice VS Jablonec
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Teplice

(Home)
06 Sept
Zlin
1 : 3
Teplice
30 Aug
Teplice
2 : 0
Jablonec
26 Aug
Krimice
1 : 2
Teplice
23 Aug
Teplice
0 : 2
Brno
15 Aug
Sparta Prague
4 : 1
Teplice
Page 1 of 6

Jablonec

(Away)
12 Sept
Sparta Prague
2 : 0
Jablonec
09 Sept
Jablonec
3 : 0
Ostrava
06 Sept
Jablonec
1 : 2
Liberec
02 Sept
Bohemians 1905
1 : 1
Jablonec
30 Aug
Teplice
2 : 0
Jablonec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liberec 8 6 1 1 13:4 19
2 Slavia Prague 7 5 2 0 21:5 17
3 Brno 8 5 1 2 12:10 16
4 Mlada Boleslav 7 4 2 1 15:9 14
5 Sigma Olomouc 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
6 Teplice 7 4 1 2 15:13 13
7 Jablonec 8 4 1 3 10:8 13
8 Sparta Prague 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
9 Hradec Kralove 7 3 2 2 6:6 11
10 Plzen 7 2 4 1 14:12 10
11 Bohemians 1905 7 2 3 2 8:9 9
12 Ostrava 7 3 0 4 4:13 9
13 Artis Brno 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
14 Slovacko 8 0 3 5 5:14 3
15 FK Pardubice 7 0 2 5 5:12 2
16 Zlin 7 0 0 7 6:16 0
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)