Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Teramo vs Recanatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Borgarello M.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Pierfederici G.
71' Event
Pierfederici G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Teramo and Recanatese finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Teramo
35%
Draws
34%
Recanatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Teramo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Teramo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Teramo Clean Sheet 20%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teramo Recanatese
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 1.94 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Recanatese
2:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Teramo
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Teramo
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Recanatese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teramo Compare

Top Goalscorer Persano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Recanatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierfederici G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teramo 36 / 100
Recanatese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teramo Recanatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teramo found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (33 games).

Recanatese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Teramo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Teramo VS Recanatese
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Teramo

(Home)
04 Aug
Teramo
1 : 1
Scafatese
17 May
Teramo
3 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
10 May
Teramo
2 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
03 May
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1
Teramo
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2
Recanatese
Page 1 of 7

Recanatese

(Away)
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1
San Marino Calcio
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0
Fossombrone
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2
Recanatese
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0
AS Sora
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1
Recanatese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)