Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Terbuni Puka vs Dinamo Tirana

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Terbuni Puka play Dinamo Tirana in the First Division 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Terbuni Puka averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Dinamo Tirana averaged 1.52 goals scored and 0.95 conceded. In past meetings, Terbuni Puka won 1, Dinamo Tirana won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 6, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Terbuni Puka and 1.05 for Dinamo Tirana. This points to a Dinamo Tirana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Terbuni Puka
22%
Draws
53%
Dinamo Tirana
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Dinamo Tirana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Terbuni Puka picked up more points recently compared to Dinamo Tirana.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Terbuni Puka Clean Sheet 22%
Dinamo Tirana Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terbuni Puka Dinamo Tirana
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 7 19
Draws 5 11
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.95

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Dinamo Tirana vs Terbuni Puka
3:0
Dec 21, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Dinamo Tirana
1:0
Jul 29, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Dinamo Tirana
0:3
Jun 27, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Dinamo Tirana vs Terbuni Puka
1:1
Dec 7, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Dinamo Tirana vs Terbuni Puka
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Terbuni Puka Compare

Top Goalscorer Xhabrahimi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Dinamo Tirana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terbuni Puka 27 / 100
Dinamo Tirana 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terbuni Puka Dinamo Tirana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dinamo Tirana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Dinamo Tirana & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Terbuni Puka attacking → ← attacking Dinamo Tirana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Terbuni Puka scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Dinamo Tirana let in goals in 63% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Terbuni Puka went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Dinamo Tirana lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 68
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Skenderbeu Korca261310337:1349
2Dinamo Tirana26145748:2347
3Flamurtari26137640:1646
4Tomori Berat26134929:2743
5Korabi Peshkopi26109732:2439
6Apolonia Fier26108831:3038
7Luzi26108831:2638
8Besa Kavaje26107932:2637
9Lushnja26881030:4232
10Burreli26710922:2931
11KF Oriku26931427:3330
12Turbina Cerrik26751424:4526
13Beselidhja Lezha26381517:4114
14Terbuni Puka26661416:4124