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Terbuni Puka vs KF Oriku

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Sat, May 13, 2023
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Terbuni Puka host KF Oriku in the First Division 2022/2023. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Terbuni Puka have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against KF Oriku's 0.93 scored and 1.47 conceded. Head-to-head, Terbuni Puka have won 1 to KF Oriku's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 13, 2023, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.93 - 2.40) back KF Oriku to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Terbuni Puka
15%
Draws
85%
KF Oriku
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KF Oriku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Terbuni Puka haven't matched KF Oriku's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Terbuni Puka Clean Sheet 10%
KF Oriku Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terbuni Puka KF Oriku
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.8 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.93 2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs KF Oriku
0:3
Jan 28, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Terbuni Puka
0:0
May 19, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs KF Oriku
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terbuni Puka 34 / 100
KF Oriku 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terbuni Puka KF Oriku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Oriku Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: KF Oriku registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

KF Oriku let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Terbuni Puka found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Terbuni Puka VS KF Oriku
0.86 Goals Scored 1.5
3.29 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Terbuni Puka

(Home)
15 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 1
Terbuni Puka
16 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 3
Terbuni Puka
18 Oct
Terbuni Puka
2 : 4
Vora
13 May
Terbuni Puka
0 : 3
KF Oriku
06 May
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Terbuni Puka
Page 1 of 6

KF Oriku

(Away)
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
12 Sept
KF Oriku
1 : 2
Bylis
06 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 0
KF Oriku
15 Oct
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
KF Oriku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skenderbeu Korca 26 13 10 3 37:13 49
2 Dinamo City 26 14 5 7 48:23 47
3 Flamurtari 26 13 7 6 40:16 46
4 Tomori Berat 26 13 4 9 29:27 43
5 Korabi Peshkopi 26 10 9 7 32:24 39
6 Apolonia Fier 26 10 8 8 31:30 38
7 Luzi 26 10 8 8 31:26 38
8 Besa Kavaje 26 10 7 9 32:26 37
9 Lushnja 26 8 8 10 30:42 32
10 Burreli 26 7 10 9 22:29 31
11 KF Oriku 26 9 3 14 27:33 30
12 Turbina Cerrik 26 7 5 14 24:45 26
13 Beselidhja Lezha 26 3 8 15 17:41 14
14 Terbuni Puka 26 6 6 14 16:41 24
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)