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Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Lechia Gdansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza, Nieciecza
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Lopata K.
44'
Kopasek S.
49'
Malov D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Termalica Bruk-Bet and Lechia Gdansk finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Termalica Bruk-Bet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Termalica Bruk-Bet
15%
Draws
41%
Lechia Gdansk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Termalica Bruk-Bet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lechia Gdansk haven't matched Termalica Bruk-Bet's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Termalica Bruk-Bet taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Termalica Bruk-Bet Clean Sheet 20%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termalica Bruk-Bet Lechia Gdansk
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Division 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Lechia Gdansk
2:1
May 23, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Lechia Gdansk
3:2
Nov 29, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
5:1
Apr 14, 2024 Division 1
Lechia Gdansk vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
3:1
Oct 1, 2023 Division 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Lechia Gdansk
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Termalica Bruk-Bet Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakubik W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kubica K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Lechia Gdansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Shakh A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termalica Bruk-Bet 42 / 100
Lechia Gdansk 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termalica Bruk-Bet Lechia Gdansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termalica Bruk-Bet scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Lechia Gdansk conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Termalica Bruk-Bet went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Termalica Bruk-Bet VS Lechia Gdansk
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Termalica Bruk-Bet

(Home)
10 Oct
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
03 Oct
Cracovia
2 : 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet
19 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
1 : 0
Odra Opole
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Lechia Gdansk
Page 1 of 6

Lechia Gdansk

(Away)
03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3
Lechia Gdansk
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Legnica
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Lechia Gdansk
01 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 2
Lechia Gdansk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 6 3 1 19:8 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 10 5 2 3 17:13 17
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Warta Poznan 10 5 0 5 18:15 15
6 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Chrobry Glogow 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Stal Mielec 10 3 3 4 16:24 12
13 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
14 Arka Gdynia 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
15 Unia Skierniewice 10 3 2 5 12:17 11
16 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
17 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)