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Stadium Background

Termez Surkhon vs Bunyodkor

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Stadion Surkhon
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Toshmirzaev B.
20'
Sub
Pletnev D. In: Tulkinbekov A.
Out: Pletnev D.
62'
Sub
Abdullazhonov S. In: Abdukhamidov S.
Out: Abdullazhonov S.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Termez Surkhon and Bunyodkor finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Termez Surkhon
44%
Draws
20%
Bunyodkor
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bunyodkor come out ahead of Termez Surkhon on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 18%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termez Surkhon Bunyodkor
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Bunyodkor
0:0
Aug 13, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Bunyodkor
3:1
Mar 28, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Termez Surkhon
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Bunyodkor
0:1
May 5, 2024 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Termez Surkhon
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termez Surkhon 36 / 100
Bunyodkor 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termez Surkhon Bunyodkor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termez Surkhon scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Bunyodkor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Bunyodkor registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Termez Surkhon VS Bunyodkor
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona1191125:328
2Pakhtakor1182122:1226
3Navbahor Namangan1162314:820
4Buxoro1162315:1120
5Bunyodkor1161413:1119
6Lok. Tashkent1152414:1417
7Andijan1151516:1116
8OKMK1144314:1416
9Nasaf Qarshi1135312:1114
10Xorazm Urganch113449:1313
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
13Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
14Kokand 19121125410:1511
15Sogdiana1123619:259
16Mashal Muborak1100114:210