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Stadium Background

Termez Surkhon vs Bunyodkor

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Stadion Surkhon
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Termez Surkhon play Bunyodkor in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Termez Surkhon averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Bunyodkor averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Termez Surkhon won 2, Bunyodkor won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 11, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Termez Surkhon and 1.31 for Bunyodkor. This points to a Bunyodkor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Termez Surkhon
44%
Draws
20%
Bunyodkor
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Bunyodkor has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Termez Surkhon.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 18%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termez Surkhon Bunyodkor
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Bunyodkor
0:0
Aug 13, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Bunyodkor
3:1
Mar 28, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Termez Surkhon
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Bunyodkor
0:1
May 5, 2024 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Termez Surkhon
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termez Surkhon 36 / 100
Bunyodkor 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termez Surkhon Bunyodkor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termez Surkhon scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Bunyodkor let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Termez Surkhon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bunyodkor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Termez Surkhon VS Bunyodkor
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona1191125:328
2Pakhtakor1182122:1226
3Navbahor Namangan1162314:820
4Buxoro1162315:1120
5Bunyodkor1161413:1119
6Lok. Tashkent1152414:1417
7Andijan1151516:1116
8OKMK1144314:1416
9Nasaf Qarshi1135312:1114
10Xorazm Urganch113449:1313
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
13Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
14Kokand 19121125410:1511
15Sogdiana1123619:259
16Mashal Muborak1100114:210