Sport Picks
Termez Surkhon vs Kokand 1912
Uzbekistan
Super League Stadion Surkhon, Termez 
Match Events
8'
8'
Dzebniauri T.
29'
29'
Gvazava S.
46'
46'
Sub
Kodirov F. In: Abdukhamidov S.
Out: Kodirov F.
AI Match Summary
Termez Surkhon in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Termez Surkhon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Termez Surkhon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Termez Surkhon have won more games recently than Kokand 1912.
- Termez Surkhon are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Termez Surkhon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 68%
Kokand 1912 Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Termez Surkhon | Kokand 1912 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Kokand 1912
1:0
Aug 3, 2026 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Termez Surkhon
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Termez Surkhon
2:0
Apr 4, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Kokand 1912
3:1
Oct 3, 2022 Super League
Kokand 1912 vs Termez Surkhon
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Termez Surkhon Compare
Top Goalscorer Dzebniauri T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Kokand 1912 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Termez Surkhon 50 / 100
Kokand 1912 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Termez Surkhon Kokand 1912
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Termez Surkhon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Termez Surkhon scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Kokand 1912's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Termez Surkhon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Termez Surkhon VS Kokand 1912
0.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
13% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Termez Surkhon
(Home) 20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 PFK Guliston
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 PFK Guliston
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
13 Aug
Termez Surkhon
1 : 3 Sogdiana
07 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 3
Kokand 1912
(Away) 20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
16 Sept
Gazalkent
2 : 1 Kokand 1912
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1 Kokand 1912
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Din. Samarkand
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Buxoro
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
16 Sept
Gazalkent
2 : 1 Kokand 1912
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1 Kokand 1912
20 Aug
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Kokand 1912
08 Aug
Nasaf Qarshi
0 : 0 Kokand 1912
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 50:17 | 51 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18:32 | 21 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
