Sport Picks
Termez Surkhon vs Mashal Muborak
Uzbekistan
Super League Stadion Surkhon 
AI Match Summary
Termez Surkhon play Mashal Muborak in the Super League. Termez Surkhon are favorites here. Recently, Termez Surkhon averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Mashal Muborak averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Termez Surkhon won 3, Mashal Muborak won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 22, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Termez Surkhon and 0.88 for Mashal Muborak. This points to a Termez Surkhon double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Termez Surkhon picked up more points recently compared to Mashal Muborak.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.88 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Termez Surkhon | Mashal Muborak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Termez Surkhon Compare
Mashal Muborak Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Termez Surkhon scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Mashal Muborak let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Termez Surkhon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Mashal Muborak lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25:3 | 28 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:12 | 26 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Andijan | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 8 | OKMK | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 9 | Nasaf Qarshi | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Xorazm Urganch | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | 12 |
| 13 | Din. Samarkand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | 11 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Sogdiana | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | 9 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4:21 | 0 |