Sport Picks
Termez Surkhon vs Nasaf Qarshi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Stadion Surkhon, Termez 
AI Match Summary
Termez Surkhon host Nasaf Qarshi in the Super League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Nasaf Qarshi have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Termez Surkhon have conceded 1.21 and scored 0.83. Past meetings favor Nasaf Qarshi slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.63 - 1.13) back Nasaf Qarshi to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Termez Surkhon haven't matched Nasaf Qarshi's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Termez Surkhon | Nasaf Qarshi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Nasaf Qarshi conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Termez Surkhon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Termez Surkhon scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Termez Surkhon
(Home)Nasaf Qarshi
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 56:21 | 55 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 43:22 | 53 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42:24 | 46 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:32 | 40 |
| 5 | Lok. Tashkent | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39:30 | 39 |
| 6 | OKMK | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:31 | 39 |
| 7 | Nasaf Qarshi | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 38 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 24:30 | 33 |
| 9 | Din. Samarkand | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 35:38 | 30 |
| 10 | Andijan | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 41:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 19:28 | 28 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24:34 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 20:34 | 23 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 24:40 | 23 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 24 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 11:48 | 4 |
