Sport Picks
Termez Surkhon vs Navbahor Namangan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Stadion Surkhon, Termez 
Match Events
5'
5'
Norchaev K.
(Penalty)
37'
37'
Mamatkazin I.
45'
45'
Ergashev K.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Termez Surkhon and Navbahor Namangan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Navbahor Namangan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Navbahor Namangan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Navbahor Namangan carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Navbahor Namangan a 52% chance of winning this.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 16%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Termez Surkhon | Navbahor Namangan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Navbahor Namangan
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 Super League
Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon
0:0
Apr 21, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Navbahor Namangan
1:0
Aug 26, 2024 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Navbahor Namangan
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Termez Surkhon 28 / 100
Navbahor Namangan 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Termez Surkhon Navbahor Namangan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Navbahor Namangan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Termez Surkhon's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Navbahor Namangan conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.
Recent resilience: Termez Surkhon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Termez Surkhon VS Navbahor Namangan
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Termez Surkhon
(Home) 10 Oct
Qizilqum
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 PFK Guliston
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 PFK Guliston
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
13 Aug
Termez Surkhon
1 : 3 Sogdiana
07 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 3
Navbahor Namangan
(Away) 17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
07 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
28 Jul
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
04 May
Nasaf Qarshi
0 : 0 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
