Sport Picks
Termez Surkhon vs Neftchi Fargona
Uzbekistan
Super League Stadion Surkhon, Termez 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Termez Surkhon and Neftchi Fargona finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftchi Fargona.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Neftchi Fargona come out ahead of Termez Surkhon on wins alone.
- Neftchi Fargona are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Termez Surkhon | Neftchi Fargona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 12 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Termez Surkhon Compare
Neftchi Fargona Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Termez Surkhon found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Neftchi Fargona conceded in 62% of 26 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Termez Surkhon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Termez Surkhon
(Home)Neftchi Fargona
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 32:5 | 34 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 26:14 | 33 |
| 3 | Buxoro | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | 23 |
| 4 | OKMK | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Navbahor Namangan | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Bunyodkor | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | 19 |
| 8 | Nasaf Qarshi | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Andijan | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:16 | 17 |
| 10 | Din. Samarkand | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Termez Surkhon | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Qizilqum | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:18 | 14 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:17 | 13 |
| 14 | Sogdiana | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22:30 | 12 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | 11 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6:22 | 4 |
