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Termez Surkhon vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Termez Surkhon play Shinnik Yaroslavl in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Termez Surkhon averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Shinnik Yaroslavl averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. In past meetings, Termez Surkhon won 0, Shinnik Yaroslavl won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 9, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Termez Surkhon and 1.38 for Shinnik Yaroslavl. This points to a Shinnik Yaroslavl double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Termez Surkhon
11%
Draws
80%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Shinnik Yaroslavl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Shinnik Yaroslavl has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Termez Surkhon.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Shinnik Yaroslavl.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 17%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termez Surkhon Shinnik Yaroslavl
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Termez Surkhon vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Termez Surkhon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Shinnik Yaroslavl Compare

Top Goalscorer Stefanovich I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Porokhov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termez Surkhon 12 / 100
Shinnik Yaroslavl 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termez Surkhon Shinnik Yaroslavl

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termez Surkhon scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Shinnik Yaroslavl let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Termez Surkhon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Shinnik Yaroslavl lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Termez Surkhon VS Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%