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Termez Surkhon vs Shinnik Yaroslavl

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Stefanovich I.
80' Event
Porokhov I.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Termez Surkhon and Shinnik Yaroslavl finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shinnik Yaroslavl.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Termez Surkhon
39%
Draws
30%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Termez Surkhon have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Shinnik Yaroslavl are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 16%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termez Surkhon Shinnik Yaroslavl
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 12
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Termez Surkhon vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Termez Surkhon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Shinnik Yaroslavl Compare

Top Goalscorer Stefanovich I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Porokhov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termez Surkhon 31 / 100
Shinnik Yaroslavl 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termez Surkhon Shinnik Yaroslavl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termez Surkhon's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Shinnik Yaroslavl let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Termez Surkhon remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Termez Surkhon VS Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%