Sport Picks
Termez Surkhon vs Sogdiana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Stadion Surkhon, Termez 
Match Events
21'
21'
Kodirov F.
25'
25'
Ergashev K.
37'
37'
Sub
Kakhramonov J. In: Nurmatov O.
Out: Kakhramonov J.
AI Match Summary
Sogdiana in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sogdiana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Termez Surkhon haven't matched Sogdiana's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 18%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Termez Surkhon | Sogdiana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2026 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Sogdiana
1:3
Apr 28, 2026 Super League
Sogdiana vs Termez Surkhon
5:2
Oct 17, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Termez Surkhon
2:1
May 16, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Sogdiana
2:1
Nov 1, 2024 Super League
Sogdiana vs Termez Surkhon
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Termez Surkhon Compare
Top Goalscorer Kodirov F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Sogdiana Compare
Top Goalscorer Mavlonkulov S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Karimov O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Termez Surkhon 32 / 100
Sogdiana 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Termez Surkhon Sogdiana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sogdiana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sogdiana has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Termez Surkhon scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Termez Surkhon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Termez Surkhon VS Sogdiana
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Termez Surkhon
(Home) 10 Oct
Qizilqum
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 PFK Guliston
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 PFK Guliston
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
13 Aug
Termez Surkhon
1 : 3 Sogdiana
07 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 3
Sogdiana
(Away) 20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2 OKMK
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0 Jayxun
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0 Sogdiana
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0 Sogdiana
13 Aug
Termez Surkhon
1 : 3 Sogdiana
02 Aug
Mashal Muborak
1 : 3 Sogdiana
27 Jul
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 1 Sogdiana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
