Sport Picks
Termez Surkhon vs Xorazm Urganch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Stadion Surkhon, Termez 
AI Match Summary
Termez Surkhon host Xorazm Urganch in the Super League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Termez Surkhon at 0.89 goals for, 1.25 against; Xorazm Urganch at 1 for, 1.48 against. Past meetings favor Termez Surkhon slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 28, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.00 - 0.88) back Termez Surkhon to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Xorazm Urganch haven't matched Termez Surkhon's recent run of results.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Termez Surkhon taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Termez Surkhon | Xorazm Urganch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Termez Surkhon scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Xorazm Urganch has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Termez Surkhon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Termez Surkhon
(Home)Xorazm Urganch
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
