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Termoli vs Angelana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Iasevoli L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Termoli and Angelana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Termoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Termoli
20%
Draws
40%
Angelana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Termoli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Termoli Clean Sheet 20%
Angelana Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termoli Angelana
Matches Played 28 5
Wins 7 1
Draws 10 1
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 0.54 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 0.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Angelana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Termoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Iasevoli L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

Angelana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termoli 31 / 100
Angelana 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termoli Angelana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Termoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angelana let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Angelana's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Termoli scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Termoli VS Angelana
0.63 Goals Scored 0.67
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.17
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Termoli

(Home)
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0
Angelana
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0
Termoli
Page 1 of 6

Angelana

(Away)
27 Sept
Angelana
1 : 1
Ancona
20 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 0
Angelana
16 Sept
Angelana
1 : 3
Teramo
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0
Angelana
06 Sept
Angelana
2 : 1
Atletico Ascoli

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vigor Senigallia 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
2 Aquila Calcio 5 3 2 0 9:2 11
3 Teramo 5 3 1 1 11:7 10
4 Foligno 5 3 1 1 6:6 10
5 Ancona 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
6 Santegidiese 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
7 Montecchio Gallo 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
8 Lanciano FC 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Atletico Ascoli 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
10 Fossombrone 5 2 1 2 5:9 7
11 Recanatese 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
12 Notaresco Calcio 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Giulianova 5 1 1 3 7:8 4
14 Maceratese 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
15 Sporting Trestina 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Angelana 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
17 Termoli 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
18 Pietralunga 5 0 2 3 2:6 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)