Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Galdo C.
90'
90'
Sparacello C.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Termoli and Aquila Calcio finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aquila Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Aquila Calcio come out ahead of Termoli on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Aquila Calcio taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Aquila Calcio have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Termoli Clean Sheet 20%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Termoli | Aquila Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.52 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.44 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Termoli
1:0
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Aquila Calcio
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Termoli
1:0
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Termoli
2:0
Nov 6, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Aquila Calcio vs Termoli
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Termoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Galdo C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22
Aquila Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Sparacello C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Termoli 10 / 100
Aquila Calcio 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Termoli Aquila Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Termoli's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Aquila Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Termoli stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Termoli VS Aquila Calcio
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Termoli
(Home) 27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0 Termoli
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0 Termoli
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0 Angelana
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0 Termoli
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0 Angelana
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1 Aquila Calcio
19 Apr
Termoli
1 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0 Sammaurese
Page 1 of 3
Aquila Calcio
(Away) 27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0 Teramo
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0 Atletico Ascoli
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4 Aquila Calcio
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0 Termoli
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4 Aquila Calcio
01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1 Aquila Calcio
19 Apr
Ostiamare
2 : 1 Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
