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Termoli vs Atletico Ascoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Termoli host Atletico Ascoli in the Serie D - Group F. Little to choose between these two on current form. Termoli have averaged 0.66 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Atletico Ascoli's 1.53 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Termoli have won 3 to Atletico Ascoli's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.00) point toward Atletico Ascoli. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Termoli
15%
Draws
51%
Atletico Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Ascoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Ascoli come out ahead of Termoli on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Termoli Clean Sheet 23%
Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termoli Atletico Ascoli
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.66 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Termoli
1:1
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Atletico Ascoli
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Atletico Ascoli
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Termoli
1:2
Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Termoli
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termoli 33 / 100
Atletico Ascoli 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termoli Atletico Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Ascoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ascoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Termoli's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Termoli stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Termoli VS Atletico Ascoli
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Termoli

(Home)
18 Oct
Teramo
1 : 0
Termoli
11 Oct
Fossombrone
1 : 2
Termoli
07 Oct
Aquila Calcio
2 : 1
Termoli
04 Oct
Termoli
2 : 0
Lanciano FC
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Ascoli

(Away)
18 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
5 : 1
Lanciano FC
11 Oct
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
04 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
0 : 1
Fossombrone
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)