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Termoli vs Giulianova

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Misuraca G.
90'
Tracchia A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Termoli and Giulianova finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Giulianova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Termoli
35%
Draws
35%
Giulianova
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Giulianova come out ahead of Termoli on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Termoli Clean Sheet 30%
Giulianova Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termoli Giulianova
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 13 14
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.62 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Giulianova
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Termoli
1:1
Feb 15, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Termoli
1:1
Oct 5, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Giulianova
1:3
Jan 19, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Termoli
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Termoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Giulianova Compare

Top Goalscorer Misuraca G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termoli 34 / 100
Giulianova 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termoli Giulianova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Giulianova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giulianova has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Termoli went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Termoli found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Termoli VS Giulianova
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Termoli

(Home)
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
26 Apr
Ostiamare
1 : 0
Termoli
19 Apr
Termoli
1 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Teramo
0 : 0
Termoli
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Giulianova

(Away)
03 May
Giulianova
4 : 0
Ostiamare
26 Apr
Maceratese
1 : 1
Giulianova
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Giulianova
12 Apr
Giulianova
0 : 0
Castelfidardo
02 Apr
Unipomezia
0 : 0
Giulianova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)