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Stadium Background

Termoli vs Recanatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Cocino L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Termoli and Recanatese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Recanatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Termoli
30%
Draws
47%
Recanatese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Recanatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Termoli haven't matched Recanatese's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Recanatese's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Termoli Clean Sheet 20%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termoli Recanatese
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 14 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.67 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Recanatese
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Termoli
1:1
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Termoli
1:2
Dec 21, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Recanatese
0:1
Mar 15, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Termoli
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Termoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Recanatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Cocino L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termoli 24 / 100
Recanatese 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termoli Recanatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recanatese has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Termoli remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Termoli's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Termoli VS Recanatese
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Termoli

(Home)
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
26 Apr
Ostiamare
1 : 0
Termoli
19 Apr
Termoli
1 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Teramo
0 : 0
Termoli
Page 1 of 6

Recanatese

(Away)
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1
San Marino Calcio
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0
Fossombrone
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2
Recanatese
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0
AS Sora
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1
Recanatese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F (Play Out)