Sport Picks
Termoli vs San Marino Calcio Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 
Match Events
63'
63'
Magnani F.
90'
90'
Sambou B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Marino Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: San Marino Calcio at 1.03 per game, Termoli at 0.58.
- Termoli are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Termoli Clean Sheet 20%
San Marino Calcio Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Termoli | San Marino Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.58 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs San Marino Calcio
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Serie D - Group F
San Marino Calcio vs Termoli
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Termoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Magnani F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
San Marino Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Sambou B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Termoli 42 / 100
San Marino Calcio 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Termoli San Marino Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: San Marino Calcio conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Termoli scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.
Termoli went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Termoli VS San Marino Calcio
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Termoli
(Home) 27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0 Termoli
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0 Termoli
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0 Angelana
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0 Termoli
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0 Angelana
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1 Aquila Calcio
19 Apr
Termoli
1 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0 Sammaurese
Page 1 of 4
San Marino Calcio
(Away) 17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1 San Marino Calcio
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0 Sammaurese
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 San Marino Calcio
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3 Teramo
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2 San Marino Calcio
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1 San Marino Calcio
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 San Marino Calcio
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2 San Marino Calcio
29 Mar
Maceratese
3 : 0 San Marino Calcio
15 Mar
Calcio Chieti
1 : 1 San Marino Calcio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
