Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ternana U19 vs Ascoli U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Coltorti A.
15' Event
Fulga C.
64' Event
Vaccaro C.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2025/2026 game between Ternana U19 and Ascoli U19 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ternana U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ternana U19
30%
Draws
31%
Ascoli U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ternana U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ternana U19 come out ahead of Ascoli U19 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Ternana U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Ascoli U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternana U19 Ascoli U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.67 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Ternana U19
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 Primavera 2
Ternana U19 vs Ascoli U19
3:0
Mar 29, 2025 Primavera 2
Ternana U19 vs Ascoli U19
4:4
Dec 14, 2024 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Ternana U19
1:2
Mar 30, 2024 Primavera 2
Ascoli U19 vs Ternana U19
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ternana U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Coltorti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fulga C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ascoli U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana U19 30 / 100
Ascoli U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternana U19 Ascoli U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ascoli U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ternana U19's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ascoli U19 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Ternana U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ternana U19 VS Ascoli U19
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana U19

(Home)
09 May
Ternana U19
2 : 2
Pescara U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1
Ternana U19
25 Apr
Ternana U19
1 : 4
Empoli U19
18 Apr
Cosenza U19
1 : 1
Ternana U19
11 Apr
Ternana U19
2 : 1
Benevento U19
Page 1 of 6

Ascoli U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Bari U19
2 : 1
Ascoli U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
22 Aug
Ascoli U19
4 : 1
Latina U19
09 May
Ascoli U19
1 : 2
Empoli U19
02 May
Perugia U19
3 : 2
Ascoli U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)