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Ternana U19 vs Spezia U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Vaccaro C.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2025/2026 game between Ternana U19 and Spezia U19 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ternana U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ternana U19
30%
Draws
41%
Spezia U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spezia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spezia U19 come out ahead of Ternana U19 on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Spezia U19 taking it.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ternana U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Spezia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternana U19 Spezia U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Ternana U19
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 Primavera 2
Ternana U19 vs Spezia U19
1:0
May 10, 2025 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Ternana U19
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Primavera 2
Ternana U19 vs Spezia U19
1:2
Jan 27, 2024 Primavera 2
Ternana U19 vs Spezia U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ternana U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaccaro C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Spezia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana U19 27 / 100
Spezia U19 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternana U19 Spezia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ternana U19's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Spezia U19 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ternana U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ternana U19 VS Spezia U19
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana U19

(Home)
09 May
Ternana U19
2 : 2
Pescara U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1
Ternana U19
25 Apr
Ternana U19
1 : 4
Empoli U19
18 Apr
Cosenza U19
1 : 1
Ternana U19
11 Apr
Ternana U19
2 : 1
Benevento U19
Page 1 of 7

Spezia U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Pisa U19
0 : 3
Spezia U19
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3
Palermo U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
09 May
Pisa U19
2 : 1
Spezia U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1
Ternana U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)