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Ternana vs Ravenna

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
Our Tip

Match Events

66'
Sub
Fischnaller M. In: Rrapaj P.
Out: Fischnaller M.
66'
Sub
Pettinari S. In: Orellana M.
Out: Pettinari S.
66'
Sub
Panico G. In: Dubickas E.
Out: Panico G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Ternana and Ravenna finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ternana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Ternana
30%
Draws
51%
Ravenna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ravenna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ravenna come out ahead of Ternana on wins alone.
  • Ravenna are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ternana Clean Sheet 22%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternana Ravenna
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.18 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Ravenna
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ravenna vs Ternana
1:0
Apr 28, 2019 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Ravenna
1:0
Dec 22, 2018 Serie C - Group B
Ravenna vs Ternana
3:2
Apr 12, 2010 Lega Pro C1/B
Ravenna vs Ternana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ternana Compare

Top Goalscorer Dubickas E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerrigan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Ravenna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana 21 / 100
Ravenna 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternana Ravenna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ravenna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ternana scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ternana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Ravenna conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ternana VS Ravenna
0.83 Goals Scored 1.5
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana

(Home)
27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0
Ternana
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0
Tau
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1
Ternana
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1
Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0
Ternana
Page 1 of 6

Ravenna

(Away)
27 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 0
Gubbio
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0
Perugia
06 Sept
Pescara
0 : 0
Ravenna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)