Sport Picks
Ternana vs Sambenedettese
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni 
Match Events
21'
21'
Kerrigan L.
46'
46'
Sub
Marranzino P. In: Bongelli R.
Out: Marranzino P.
58'
58'
Candellori K.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Ternana and Sambenedettese finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ternana carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ternana Clean Sheet 68%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ternana | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 10 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 20, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Sambenedettese
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Ternana
0:0
Mar 6, 2019 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Sambenedettese
0:0
Feb 23, 2019 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Ternana
2:0
Apr 1, 2007 Lega Pro C1/B
Ternana vs Sambenedettese
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ternana Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Sambenedettese Compare
Top Goalscorer Zini A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ternana 41 / 100
Sambenedettese 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ternana Sambenedettese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ternana found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
Sambenedettese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Ternana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Ternana VS Sambenedettese
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ternana
(Home) 03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3 Pianese
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2 Ternana
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
08 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 1 Ternana
Page 1 of 7
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3 Pianese
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
20 Mar
Ternana
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
08 Mar
Ternana
0 : 1 Gubbio
01 Mar
Ternana
2 : 4 Campobasso
Page 1 of 4
Sambenedettese
(Away) 29 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
26 Jul
Sambenedettese
0 : 5 Avellino
26 Apr
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3 Sambenedettese
18 Apr
Sambenedettese
2 : 1 US Pontedera
04 Apr
Sambenedettese
0 : 0 Arezzo
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
26 Apr
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3 Sambenedettese
29 Mar
Pineto
0 : 0 Sambenedettese
20 Mar
Ternana
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
08 Mar
Guidonia 1937
0 : 1 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
