Sport Picks
Ternana vs Sambenedettese Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni 
Match Events
21'
21'
Kerrigan L.
46'
46'
Sub
Marranzino P. In: Bongelli R.
Out: Marranzino P.
58'
58'
Candellori K.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Ternana and Sambenedettese finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ternana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ternana carry the better recent record into this one.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Ternana taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ternana Clean Sheet 68%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ternana | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 20, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Sambenedettese
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Ternana
0:0
Mar 6, 2019 Serie C - Group B
Ternana vs Sambenedettese
0:0
Feb 23, 2019 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Ternana
2:0
Apr 1, 2007 Lega Pro C1/B
Ternana vs Sambenedettese
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ternana Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Sambenedettese Compare
Top Goalscorer Zini A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.54
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ternana 86 / 100
Sambenedettese 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ternana Sambenedettese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ternana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ternana found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Sambenedettese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Ternana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Sambenedettese has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ternana VS Sambenedettese
0.71 Goals Scored 1.38
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.75
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ternana
(Home) 27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0 Ternana
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0 Tau
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1 Ternana
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0 Ternana
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0 Tau
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3 Pianese
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
20 Mar
Ternana
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 3
Sambenedettese
(Away) 26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Campobasso
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3 Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
02 Sept
Altamura
3 : 2 Sambenedettese
29 Aug
Sassari Torres
1 : 0 Sambenedettese
16 Aug
Pescara
0 : 1 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
