Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ternana vs Tau

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Falletti C.
63' Event
Falletti C.
(Penalty)
87' Event
Scappini S.

AI Match Summary

Ternana in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ternana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ternana
20%
Draws
44%
Tau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tau lately — more wins on the board than Ternana.
  • Ternana are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Ternana Clean Sheet 68%
Tau Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternana Tau
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Ternana vs Tau
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ternana Compare

Top Goalscorer Falletti C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scappini S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana 86 / 100
Tau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternana Tau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ternana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ternana's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tau conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ternana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ternana VS Tau
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana

(Home)
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0
Tau
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1
Ternana
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1
Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0
Ternana
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Ternana
Page 1 of 6

Tau

(Away)
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0
Tau
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2
Siena
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1
Tau
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1
SCD Progresso
12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1
US Pontedera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Follonica Gavorrano 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
2 Prato 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
3 Seravezza Pozzi 4 2 1 1 10:3 7
4 Terranuova Traiana 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
5 Siena 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 Scandicci 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 Lucchese 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
8 San Donato Tavarnelle 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
9 Flaminia 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
10 Tau 4 2 0 2 6:10 6
11 Mezzolara 4 1 2 1 3:5 5
12 Ternana 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
13 Montevarchi 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
14 Sasso Marconi 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
15 SCD Progresso 4 1 0 3 3:11 3
16 Rondinella 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
17 Grassina 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
18 Ghiviborgo 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)