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Ternana W vs AC Milan W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Sub
Gomes A. In: Lazaro P.
Out: Gomes A.
58'
Sub
Regazzoli A. In: Pastrenge L.
Out: Regazzoli A.
60'
Sub
Cernoia V. In: Arrigoni G.
Out: Cernoia V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women 2025/2026 game between Ternana W and AC Milan W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ternana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ternana W
15%
Draws
59%
AC Milan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AC Milan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ternana W haven't matched AC Milan W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ternana W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and AC Milan W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ternana W Clean Sheet 14%
AC Milan W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternana W AC Milan W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A Women
Ternana W vs AC Milan W
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Serie A Women
AC Milan W vs Ternana W
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
AC Milan W vs Ternana W
2:1
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Women
Ternana W vs AC Milan W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ternana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazaro P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

AC Milan W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana W 35 / 100
AC Milan W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternana W AC Milan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Milan W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Ternana W scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Ternana W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ternana W VS AC Milan W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana W

(Home)
27 Sept
Ternana W
1 : 2
Como W
20 Sept
Catania W
1 : 5
Ternana W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
22 Aug
Ternana W
0 : 2
AS Roma W
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AC Milan W

(Away)
26 Sept
Como 1907 W
4 : 1
AC Milan W
06 Sept
Juventus W
1 : 0
AC Milan W
29 Aug
AC Milan W
2 : 1
Como 1907 W
22 Aug
AC Milan W
1 : 1
Como W
25 Jul
Zurich W
2 : 3
AC Milan W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)