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Ternana W vs AC Milan W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Sub
Gomes A. In: Lazaro P.
Out: Gomes A.
58'
Sub
Regazzoli A. In: Pastrenge L.
Out: Regazzoli A.
60'
Sub
Cernoia V. In: Arrigoni G.
Out: Cernoia V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women 2025/2026 game between Ternana W and AC Milan W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ternana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Ternana W
17%
Draws
70%
AC Milan W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: AC Milan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Ternana W haven't matched AC Milan W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AC Milan W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie A Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and AC Milan W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ternana W Clean Sheet 20%
AC Milan W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternana W AC Milan W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A Women
Ternana W vs AC Milan W
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Serie A Women
AC Milan W vs Ternana W
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
AC Milan W vs Ternana W
2:1
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Women
Ternana W vs AC Milan W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ternana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazaro P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AC Milan W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana W 16 / 100
AC Milan W 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternana W AC Milan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Milan W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Ternana W scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Ternana W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ternana W VS AC Milan W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana W

(Home)
17 May
Ternana W
1 : 0
AC Milan W
10 May
Lazio W
2 : 0
Ternana W
02 May
AS Roma W
2 : 0
Ternana W
26 Apr
Ternana W
2 : 2
Fiorentina W
04 Apr
Parma W
2 : 0
Ternana W
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AC Milan W

(Away)
17 May
Ternana W
1 : 0
AC Milan W
10 May
AC Milan W
3 : 1
Parma W
02 May
Inter W
1 : 0
AC Milan W
25 Apr
AC Milan W
0 : 0
Napoli W
03 Apr
Sassuolo W
0 : 3
AC Milan W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Roma W22174144:1955
2Inter W22135449:2644
3Juventus W22116533:1939
4Fiorentina W22106633:3036
5Lazio W22103931:3033
6AC Milan W2295831:2632
7Napoli W2288630:2532
8Como W2286824:2230
9Sassuolo W22461217:3418
10Ternana W22451319:4017
11Parma W222101016:3116
12Genoa W22241618:4310
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women 2026/2027 (Main)