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Stadium Background

Ternana W vs AS Roma W

Italy Italy

Serie A Cup Women Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Pilgrim A.
Assist: Doms M.
31'
Pilgrim A.
43'
Hornemann S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ternana W
15%
Draws
65%
AS Roma W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AS Roma W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • AS Roma W have won more games recently than Ternana W.
  • Win probability leans AS Roma W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • AS Roma W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AS Roma W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AS Roma W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ternana W Clean Sheet 10%
AS Roma W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternana W AS Roma W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 0.93 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Serie A Cup Women
Ternana W vs AS Roma W
0:2
Aug 11, 2026 Club Friendly Women
AS Roma W vs Ternana W
3:1
May 2, 2026 Serie A Women
AS Roma W vs Ternana W
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 Serie A Women
Ternana W vs AS Roma W
0:2
Aug 22, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
Ternana W vs AS Roma W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ternana W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

AS Roma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pilgrim A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana W 10 / 100
AS Roma W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternana W AS Roma W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ternana W scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

AS Roma W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Ternana W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ternana W VS AS Roma W
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana W

(Home)
27 Sept
Ternana W
1 : 2
Como W
20 Sept
Catania W
1 : 5
Ternana W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
22 Aug
Ternana W
0 : 2
AS Roma W
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AS Roma W

(Away)
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
23 Sept
Leuven W
0 : 0
AS Roma W
19 Sept
Juventus W
3 : 2
AS Roma W
13 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 7
AS Roma W
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Lazio W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Napoli W 3 1 0 2 3:10 3
4 Parma W 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sassuolo W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 AS Roma W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fiorentina W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Ternana W 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus W 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Como W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 AC Milan W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Como 1907 W 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)