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Ternana W vs Sassuolo W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie A Women 2025/2026 Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Breitner S.
13'
Martins C.
14' Event
Missipo K.
Assist: Fercocq H.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women 2025/2026 game between Ternana W and Sassuolo W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ternana W
15%
Draws
64%
Sassuolo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sassuolo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Sassuolo W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ternana W Clean Sheet 13%
Sassuolo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternana W Sassuolo W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Serie A Cup Women
Sassuolo W vs Ternana W
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 Serie A Women
Ternana W vs Sassuolo W
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs Ternana W
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
Sassuolo W vs Ternana W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ternana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pirone V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sassuolo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Missipo K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana W 30 / 100
Sassuolo W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternana W Sassuolo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ternana W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sassuolo W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ternana W scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Ternana W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ternana W VS Sassuolo W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana W

(Home)
27 Sept
Ternana W
1 : 2
Como W
20 Sept
Catania W
1 : 5
Ternana W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
22 Aug
Ternana W
0 : 2
AS Roma W
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Sassuolo W

(Away)
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
20 Sept
Moncalieri W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
13 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 7
AS Roma W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
30 Aug
AS Roma W
0 : 1
Sassuolo W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)