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Ternat vs Aalst

Belgium Belgium

Belgium Third Division Group A 2009/2010
Ternat Logo

Ternat

1 - 4
FT
Aalst Logo

Aalst

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aalst in this Belgium Third Division Group A 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aalst.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ternat
15%
Draws
51%
Aalst
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalst

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aalst lately — more wins on the board than Ternat.
  • Win probability leans Aalst's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Belgium Third Division Group A 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ternat Clean Sheet 20%
Aalst Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternat Aalst
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 10 21
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2010 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Ternat vs Aalst
1:4
Nov 29, 2009 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Aalst vs Ternat
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternat 10 / 100
Aalst 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternat Aalst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalst Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Ternat scored in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Aalst's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 34 matches.

Ternat went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aalst
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternat

(Home)
30 Aug
Wolvertem Merchtem
2 : 0
Ternat
30 Jul
Liedekerke
1 : 0
Ternat
28 Jul
Ternat
3 : 1
Halle
05 Aug
Ternat
0 : 1
Suryoyes Bruxellois
29 Jul
FC Schaerbeek
1 : 3
Ternat
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Aalst

(Away)
05 May
Aalst
1 : 3
Gullegem
28 Apr
KRC Harelbeke
1 : 0
Aalst
21 Apr
Aalst
3 : 0
Ninove
14 Apr
Olsa Brakel
2 : 3
Aalst
07 Apr
Aalst
4 : 1
Oostkamp
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heist 36 23 7 6 73:34 76
2 Boom 36 21 9 6 82:46 72
3 Aalst 36 20 7 9 82:44 67
4 Deinze 36 17 9 10 50:38 60
5 Sporting Lokeren 36 16 8 12 61:61 56
6 Coxyde 36 15 10 11 67:43 55
7 Hamme 36 15 10 11 59:51 55
8 Hoogstraten 36 14 8 14 59:55 50
9 Sint Niklaas 36 14 7 15 62:55 49
10 Oudenaarde 36 11 15 10 62:62 48
11 Rac. Waregem 36 14 6 16 43:51 48
12 Torhout 36 13 6 17 49:51 45
13 Wielsbeke 36 11 12 13 50:62 45
14 Ternat 36 12 5 19 53:72 41
15 Cappellen 36 11 6 19 40:62 39
16 Sottegem 36 11 5 20 32:65 38
17 Westhoek 36 10 7 19 53:70 37
18 KRC Mechelen 36 8 13 15 52:71 37
19 Willebroek-Meerhof 36 8 6 22 40:76 30
Promotion - EXQI League 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - EXQI League 2009/2010 (Relegation)