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Terra e Mar vs Esporte Limoeiro

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2024
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Match Events

22' Event
Pablo
27' Event
Andre Cassaco
74' Event
Savio

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 3 2024 game between Terra e Mar and Esporte Limoeiro finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esporte Limoeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Terra e Mar
15%
Draws
42%
Esporte Limoeiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Terra e Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esporte Limoeiro come out ahead of Terra e Mar on wins alone.
  • Esporte Limoeiro are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Cearense 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Terra e Mar Clean Sheet 19%
Esporte Limoeiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terra e Mar Esporte Limoeiro
Matches Played 8 22
Wins 3 7
Draws 0 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.82
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2024 Cearense 3
Terra e Mar vs Esporte Limoeiro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Terra e Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Pablo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Esporte Limoeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Andre Cassaco
1 Goals
Assists Leader Savio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terra e Mar 28 / 100
Esporte Limoeiro 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terra e Mar Esporte Limoeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esporte Limoeiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Terra e Mar scored in 75% of their last 8 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Esporte Limoeiro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Esporte Limoeiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 22 matches.

Scoring Trends

Terra e Mar VS Esporte Limoeiro
1.33 Goals Scored 0.25
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Terra e Mar

(Home)
11 Aug
Quixada
1 : 0
Terra e Mar
03 Aug
Terra e Mar
0 : 5
Quixada
28 Jul
Terra e Mar
4 : 1
Alianca Futebol Clube
20 Jul
Terra e Mar
2 : 4
Tiangua EC
08 Jul
Itarema
1 : 2
Terra e Mar
Page 1 of 2

Esporte Limoeiro

(Away)
20 Sept
Acopiara
1 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
13 Sept
Esporte Limoeiro
1 : 2
Acopiara
05 Sept
Esporte Limoeiro
1 : 2
Acopiara
29 Aug
Calouros do Ar
1 : 2
Esporte Limoeiro
23 Aug
Esporte Limoeiro
3 : 0
Palmacia
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Esporte Limoeiro 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
3 Crato 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
4 Terra e Mar 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
5 Tiangua EC 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
6 Alianca Futebol Clube 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
7 Itarema 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Cearense 3 2024 (Play Offs)