Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Terranuova Traiana vs Foligno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Khribech W.
45' Event
Sesti D.
89' Event
Degl'Innocenti T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 game between Terranuova Traiana and Foligno finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Terranuova Traiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Terranuova Traiana
15%
Draws
54%
Foligno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Foligno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Terranuova Traiana have managed 1.1 goals a game lately — Foligno are scoring more at 1.21.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Terranuova Traiana taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Terranuova Traiana Clean Sheet 68%
Foligno Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terranuova Traiana Foligno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Terranuova Traiana vs Foligno
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Terranuova Traiana
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Terranuova Traiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Sesti D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Degl'Innocenti T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Foligno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terranuova Traiana 50 / 100
Foligno 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terranuova Traiana Foligno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Terranuova Traiana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Terranuova Traiana's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Foligno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Terranuova Traiana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Terranuova Traiana VS Foligno
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Terranuova Traiana

(Home)
20 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
5 : 1
Flaminia
16 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3
Terranuova Traiana
06 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 2
Sasso Marconi
08 Aug
Grosseto
3 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
Page 1 of 6

Foligno

(Away)
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1
Foligno
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1
Foligno
06 Sept
Foligno
2 : 1
Lanciano FC
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)