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Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Terranuova Traiana play Grosseto in the Serie D - Group E. It looks like a close match. Recently, Terranuova Traiana averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Grosseto averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Terranuova Traiana won 2, Grosseto won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Terranuova Traiana and 0.81 for Grosseto. This points to a Grosseto double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Terranuova Traiana
40%
Draws
29%
Grosseto
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Grosseto has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Terranuova Traiana.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group E provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Terranuova Traiana Clean Sheet 20%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terranuova Traiana Grosseto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 19
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Terranuova Traiana
4:0
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Terranuova Traiana
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto
3:2
May 14, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Terranuova Traiana
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Terranuova Traiana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Grosseto Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabelli P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terranuova Traiana 32 / 100
Grosseto 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terranuova Traiana Grosseto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Terranuova Traiana scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Grosseto let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Terranuova Traiana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Grosseto lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Terranuova Traiana VS Grosseto
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622