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Terranuova Traiana vs Sasso Marconi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Mazia A.
49' Event
Poggi R.
81' Event
Mattiolo G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E game between Terranuova Traiana and Sasso Marconi finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sasso Marconi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Terranuova Traiana
30%
Draws
31%
Sasso Marconi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Terranuova Traiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Sasso Marconi haven't matched Terranuova Traiana's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Terranuova Traiana Clean Sheet 16%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terranuova Traiana Sasso Marconi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Terranuova Traiana vs Sasso Marconi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Terranuova Traiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Poggi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Sasso Marconi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mattiolo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terranuova Traiana 30 / 100
Sasso Marconi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terranuova Traiana Sasso Marconi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Terranuova Traiana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sasso Marconi conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Terranuova Traiana found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Terranuova Traiana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Terranuova Traiana VS Sasso Marconi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Terranuova Traiana

(Home)
11 Oct
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
07 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 3
Prato
03 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 1
Prato
27 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
3 : 0
Terranuova Traiana
20 Sept
Terranuova Traiana
5 : 1
Flaminia
Page 1 of 6

Sasso Marconi

(Away)
11 Oct
Mezzolara
2 : 2
Sasso Marconi
07 Oct
Sasso Marconi
1 : 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
04 Oct
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2
Scandicci
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1
Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
Sasso Marconi
0 : 1
Prato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Follonica Gavorrano 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Prato 6 4 2 0 9:4 14
3 Lucchese 6 4 1 1 16:11 13
4 Tau 6 4 0 2 10:12 12
5 Scandicci 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
6 Flaminia 6 3 2 1 9:9 11
7 Seravezza Pozzi 6 3 1 2 14:5 10
8 Siena 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
9 Ternana 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
10 Terranuova Traiana 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Montevarchi 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Mezzolara 6 1 4 1 4:6 7
14 Rondinella 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
15 Sasso Marconi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
16 SCD Progresso 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
17 Grassina 6 0 2 4 6:13 2
18 Ghiviborgo 6 0 1 5 3:10 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)