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Tertons vs Thimphu City

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tertons play Thimphu City in the Premier League 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tertons averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. Thimphu City averaged 3.03 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Tertons won 1, Thimphu City won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 23, 2015 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Tertons and 2.37 for Thimphu City. This points to a Tertons double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tertons
25%
Draws
35%
Thimphu City
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Tertons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Tertons picked up more points recently compared to Thimphu City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 2.37 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Tertons Clean Sheet 10%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tertons Thimphu City
Matches Played 12 32
Wins 7 21
Draws 5 6
Losses 0 5
Goals Scored 2.75 3.03
Goals Conceded 1.08 1.34

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2015 Premier League
Tertons vs Thimphu City
4:2
Jul 5, 2015 Premier League
Tertons vs Thimphu City
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tertons 38 / 100
Thimphu City 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tertons Thimphu City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tertons or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tertons attacking → ← attacking Thimphu City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tertons scored in 83% of their last 12 games.

Thimphu City let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tertons went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Thimphu City lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 69
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25