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Teruel vs Gimnastic de Tarragona Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Pinilla, Teruel
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sanz O.
30' Event
Nicholas N.
55'
Sub
Abdallah K. In: Martinez P.
Out: Abdallah K.

AI Match Summary

Teruel in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Teruel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Teruel
30%
Draws
54%
Gimnastic de Tarragona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnastic de Tarragona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnastic de Tarragona have won more games recently than Teruel.
  • Gimnastic de Tarragona are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Teruel have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Teruel Clean Sheet 18%
Gimnastic de Tarragona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teruel Gimnastic de Tarragona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.55 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Teruel vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
1:0
Jan 11, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Teruel
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Teruel
0:2
Sep 17, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Teruel vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teruel Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicholas N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gimnastic de Tarragona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teruel 20 / 100
Gimnastic de Tarragona 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teruel Gimnastic de Tarragona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnastic de Tarragona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnastic de Tarragona let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Teruel scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Teruel stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Teruel VS Gimnastic de Tarragona
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Teruel

(Home)
27 Sept
Teruel
1 : 1
Huesca
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Teruel
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Murcia
4 : 0
Teruel
31 Aug
Teruel
0 : 0
Real Madrid B
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Gimnastic de Tarragona

(Away)
26 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
1 : 2
Sant Andreu
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
30 Aug
Gimnastic de Tarragona
2 : 0
Zaragoza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)