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Teruel vs Jaen

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Pinilla, Teruel
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Relu
12'
Sanhaji M.
33'
Adri P.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 game between Teruel and Jaen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Teruel
20%
Draws
73%
Jaen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Teruel haven't matched Jaen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jaen a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Teruel Clean Sheet 14%
Jaen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teruel Jaen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 18
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 0.5 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Teruel vs Jaen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teruel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Siverio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teruel 10 / 100
Jaen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teruel Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jaen conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Teruel found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Teruel stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Teruel VS Jaen
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Teruel

(Home)
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Teruel
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Murcia
4 : 0
Teruel
31 Aug
Teruel
0 : 0
Real Madrid B
22 Aug
Teruel
0 : 2
Villarreal B
Page 1 of 6

Jaen

(Away)
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
Teruel
0 : 1
Jaen
06 Sept
Jaen
2 : 2
Huesca
30 Aug
CE Europa
0 : 3
Jaen
06 Aug
Jaen
1 : 2
Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarreal B 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Jaen 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
3 Murcia 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
4 Atl. Madrid B 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
5 Gimnastic de Tarragona 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
6 UD Ibiza 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 Zaragoza 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
8 FC Cartagena SAD 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
9 Antequera 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
10 Huesca 4 1 2 1 3:5 5
11 Real Madrid B 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
12 Rayo Majadahonda 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
13 Aguilas FC 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
14 Alcorcon 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
15 Sant Andreu 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
16 Hercules 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
17 Torremolinos 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
18 CE Europa 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
19 Teruel 4 0 1 3 0:7 1
20 Algeciras 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)